AI Risk Intelligence for Decision-Makers
Quarterly assessments bridging near-term operational risks and long-term existential concerns. Independent analysis. Rigorous methodology. Actionable recommendations.
What This Is
Frontier Risk Monitor is a quarterly AI risk assessment designed for leaders who need to make decisions today while preparing for tomorrow's uncertainties.
I track the full spectrum—from autonomous agent incidents and AI-enabled cyber threats to frontier model capabilities and AGI timeline indicators—synthesizing complex developments into clear, decision-relevant intelligence.
Why This Matters
The Gap
Most AI coverage is either breathless hype or abstract doom. Decision-makers need actionable risk intelligence grounded in evidence.
The Approach
I combine quantitative incident tracking, expert elicitation, and scenario analysis with explicit uncertainty acknowledgment.
The Independence
No funding from AI labs. No advocacy agenda. Analysis informed by experts but directed by evidence.
Who This Is For
- → Corporate leaders managing AI adoption, governance, and risk exposure
- → Government decision-makers shaping policy and institutional response
- → Investors evaluating AI-related opportunities and portfolio risks
- → AI practitioners seeking broader context for their work
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